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December 28, 2007 / lazybug

No Warming in Past Decade

So far, I was of the view that global warming was happening, but: it was not man made and the doomsday theory was a farce. Here’s another revelation which says there has been no global warming since 2001!

I came across this article on the Wall Street Journal’s The Informed Reader Blog. The original article is by David Whitehouse for the New Statesman.

Global Warming Cartoon

Whitehouse provides all the explanation needed for proving his point. Here’s an excerpt.

For the past decade the world has not warmed. Global warming has stopped. It’s not a viewpoint or a sceptic’s inaccuracy. It’s an observational fact. Clearly the world of the past 30 years is warmer than the previous decades and there is abundant evidence (in the northern hemisphere at least) that the world is responding to those elevated temperatures. But the evidence shows that global warming as such has ceased.

The explanation for the standstill has been attributed to aerosols in the atmosphere produced as a by-product of greenhouse gas emission and volcanic activity. They would have the effect of reflecting some of the incidental sunlight into space thereby reducing the greenhouse effect. Such an explanation was proposed to account for the global cooling observed between 1940 and 1978.

But things cannot be that simple. The fact that the global temperature has remained unchanged for a decade requires that the quantity of reflecting aerosols dumped put in our atmosphere must be increasing year on year at precisely the exact rate needed to offset the accumulating carbon dioxide that wants to drive the temperature higher. This precise balance seems highly unlikely. Other explanations have been proposed such as the ocean cooling effect of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation or the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.

But they are also difficult to adjust so that they exactly compensate for the increasing upward temperature drag of rising CO2. So we are led to the conclusion that either the hypothesis of carbon dioxide induced global warming holds but its effects are being modified in what seems to be an improbable though not impossible way, or, and this really is heresy according to some, the working hypothesis does not stand the test of data.

The more I read about it, the more I am convinced that Al Gore and co. are out to scare the wits out of human race.

Do read the full article.

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6 Comments

Leave a Comment
  1. underdog / Dec 28 2007 5:53 pm

    what about the melting of the sea ice in the artic?

    how can both be happening…?

  2. Ned Kelly / Dec 29 2007 6:20 am

    It seems to me that most of the scientists can’t agree about anything on the subject.

  3. lazybug / Dec 29 2007 6:58 am

    Underdog: It’s a lot more complicated than that. The Earth’s climate system is not that easy to be understood. And that’s why it’s wrong to accept what Al Gore and the IPCC are propagating.

    Ned Kelly: My point exactly. But to an extent I am convinced that global warming is not as big a threat as is made out to be.

  4. JB / Dec 30 2007 8:45 am

    Lazybug,

    The global warming process results in long term to our climate, which will cause more volatile climatic conditions. Ironically the process is the opposite process which caused stable climatic conditions (which we have enjoyed for most of human civilization). Stable climates are the result of trapping of CO2 (etc) gasses in the form of oil and coal (etc). What we are now doing is releasing these gasses back into the environment, which will results in the opposite climatic process.

    Therefore what is going on is like a snow ball effect. If you accept that some global warming is happening, then you have to except that the problems will get worse and worse (like a snowball), and this will continue for hundreds and thousands of years.
    If you subscribe to any of the theory (and personally I think that it can no longer be sensibly that we have a serious problem) then you have to accept that your children’s children are the ones who will really suffer.

  5. lazybug / Dec 30 2007 1:08 pm

    JB,

    I believe that some warming is happening. But I do not believe the grim picture being painted. Surely, The Earth’s climate is a bit more complex and more carbon wouldn’t destabalise it so badly.

    I am all for reducing pollution and preventing deforetstation. My grand children, and I believe your’s too, would suffer more without greenery, than with more carbon. The two things are related too. :)

  6. David / Feb 8 2009 2:51 pm

    I wonder if the ice caps have been melting for sometime, and the reason they continue to do so is because it takes many decades to melt? Perhaps if the Earth has stopped getting warmer, the ice still melts as it is still adjusting to the temperature changed that occurred 30-40 years ago.

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